Suncor remains my largest portfolio position due to its strong fundamentals, ample reserves, and ability to profitably grow production even at current oil prices. I am maintaining a buy stance, raising my buy target to $38/share, as tightening global oil supply and declining U.S. shale output support higher long-term oil prices. Suncor's steady production growth, solid profits, debt reduction, and attractive dividend yield make it a superior long-term investment versus shale peers.

Recent OPEC+ decision to increase production could further pressure oil prices. SU and WMB would feel the pressure to different degrees due to differences in their business models. However, I believe the market overestimated the potential impact of lower oil prices on SU.

Suncor Energy (SU) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?

Suncor Energy offers a compelling value opportunity with a forward PE of 11x, a well-covered 4.7% dividend yield, and strong capital returns. SU's operational excellence is reflected in record production and refining results, disciplined cost control, and significant progress on strategic targets. SU's oil sands assets provide long reserve life and low breakeven costs, ensuring resilience amid commodity price volatility and supporting potential double-digit returns.

Suncor Energy Inc. is a high-quality oil company with strong Q1 performance, high utilization rates, and significant cash returns via dividends and buybacks. Positive trade talks between the US and China could boost oil prices, benefiting Suncor's revenues, earnings, and cash flows. Despite lower oil prices, Suncor's higher production levels and buybacks have mitigated revenue and profit declines, showcasing the value of buybacks.

SU's first-quarter earnings beat estimates, driven by strong production growth in the upstream segment.

Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE:SU ) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 7, 2025 9:30 AM ET Company Participants Troy Little - SVP, External Affairs Rich Kruger - President and CEO Kris Smith - CFO Peter Zebedee - EVP, Oil Sands Dave Oldreive - EVP, Downstream Shelley Powell - SVP, Operational Improvement and Support Services Conference Call Participants Dennis Fong - CIBC Greg Pardy - RBC Capital Markets Manav Gupta - UBS Neil Mehta - Goldman Sachs Menno Hulshof - TD Securities Operator Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Suncor Energy First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Call.

Suncor Energy (SU) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.91 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.86 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.05 per share a year ago.

Unless otherwise noted, all financial figures are unaudited, presented in Canadian dollars (Cdn$), and derived from the company's condensed consolidated financial statements which are based on Canadian generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), specifically International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB), and are prepared in accordance with International Accounting Standard (IAS) 34 Interim Financial Reporting. Production volumes are presented on a working-interest basis, before royalties, except for production values from the company's Libya operations, which are presented on an economic basis.

All financial figures are in Canadian dollars. Calgary, Alberta--(Newsfile Corp. - May 6, 2025) - Suncor Energy's (TSX: SU) (NYSE: SU) Board of Directors has approved a quarterly dividend of $0.57 per share on its common shares, payable June 25, 2025 to shareholders of record at the close of business on June 4, 2025.