Shares of Credo Technology have recovered from a significant decline at the start of the year, driven by strong sector momentum and a broader market rally driven by tariff relief. The share price uptrend will face a critical test next week as Credo will report fiscal Q4 2025 results and provide guidance for the next quarter and fiscal year. A beat-and-raise quarter is critical for continued gains, and so is reduced reliance on Amazon and strong guidance.

Credo Technology is well-positioned for AI infrastructure growth, benefiting from strong demand and Nvidia's positive results, but faces high customer concentration risk. Despite explosive revenue and earnings growth, Credo Technology stock's recent rally has pushed valuation too high relative to current fundamentals and risks. I'm assigning a Hold rating to CRDO shares due to elevated valuation, customer concentration, and weak free cash flow, preferring to wait for improvements or a pullback.

Credo's explosive AI-driven growth is impressive, but don't overlook risks—especially heavy reliance on hyperscalers like AWS; monitor capex signals closely for growth normalization impacts on investor sentiment. Margins are excellent now, but expect moderation—watch management's R&D spending guidance closely on earnings calls, as unexpected expense jumps could quickly pressure valuations. CRDO shares look appealing despite stretched multiples; position cautiously and stay sharp on strategic catalysts and competitor moves, given the volatile macro and customer concentration risks.

Credo's new PILOT enhances link reliability, detects early degradation and ensures seamless uptime for high-speed data infrastructure.

Both Credo and Broadcom are well-positioned to gain from the rapidly growing AI-driven data center market. Let's find out which semiconductor stock is a better bet.

I rate Credo Technology a strong buy with a $100 price target within 12 months, due to its robust growth roadmap and favorable market conditions. Credo is positioned for strong growth, driven by its innovative high-speed data center interconnect solutions and a solid customer base in AI and HPC. The company's high gross margins, strong operating leverage, and substantial cash reserves support its rapid scalability and profitability in the booming AI networking market.

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd CRDO stock has slipped 33.3% over the past three months, significantly more than the Electronic-Semiconductors industry's decline of 16.4%. The broader Computer and Technology sector and S&P 500 Composite have registered declines of 11.5% and 7.8%, respectively, over the same time frame.

I reiterate my "Buy" rating on Credo Technology Group, seeing solid fundamentals and recent innovations that expand its TAM, despite broader market turbulence. Credo's Q3 FY2025 revenue surged 154% YoY, driven by AI platform scaling and AEC becoming the standard for intra-rack connections, indicating strong growth potential. Credo's valuation has become attractive for GARP investors after a 28% YTD dip, with a forward PEG ratio significantly lower than the IT sector's median.

Credo's revenue growth is accelerating due to strong product adoption by hyperscalers, and a shift from AI training to inference workloads is another growth catalyst. The company is well-positioned for margin expansion through scale-driven operating leverage effects. I estimate another 500-600bps of EBIT margin improvement potential over the next few quarters. Valuations have moderated sharply and are now more attractive, especially since the company has simultaneously improved revenue and earnings growth expectations. This makes it a gift from Mr Market.

Credo Technology Group's AEC market growth, driven by cloud partnerships, supports a 217% stock price increase, warranting a valuation assessment. AECs offer power efficiency and cost benefits over alternatives, with a projected 78% CAGR, benefiting Credo amid rising cloud AI infrastructure investments. Despite competition from Astera Labs and Marvell, Credo's strong growth and key customer relationships position it well in the expanding AEC market.