AHH has been a disaster investment case. This year, the dividend has been cut, and the share price has declined by ~20% even though relatively recently there was a notable equity raise. The P/FFO multiple has now dropped to a dirt-cheap/hotel-like level.

I view mREITs as a Hold due to yield curve risks, while high-quality equity REITs like Armada Hoffler Properties offer more stable income and upside potential. AHH's leverage is elevated, but manageable if rate cuts arrive within its debt maturity window, reducing refinancing risk. Dividend coverage is robust with a 56% payout ratio and a healthy 14.5% FFO yield, supporting sustainable income despite shrinking FFO.

When Your REIT Will Cut Its Dividend

Dividend cut announcements trigger sharp REIT sell-offs, regardless of whether cuts are forced by trouble or are responsible capital allocation decisions. I consistently find opportunity in buying REITs after responsible dividend cuts, as the market often overreacts despite strong underlying fundamentals. Historical examples like WPC, BRX, KIM, WSR, and GOOD show significant price recovery after responsible cuts, offering attractive entry points for investors.

Stocks that cut their dividends are often eschewed due to containing clear flaws. However, sometimes the market completely misprices a stock after it cuts its dividend, providing tremendous investment opportunities. We share some high-yields that are extremely compelling buys after cutting their dividends.

Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. (NYSE:AHH ) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 8, 2025 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Chelsea Forrest - Vice President of Investor Relations Shawn Tibbetts - President and CEO Matthew Barnes-Smith - CFO Conference Call Participants Andrew Berger - Bank of America Viktor Fediv - Scotiabank Rob Stevenson - Janney Operator Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Armada Hoffler First Quarter '25 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode.

Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.'s Series A preferred stock offers a compelling yield, a telling discount, and low solvency risk. Hoffler's diversified portfolio and strong occupancy rates, coupled with solid capital structure ratios, mitigate liquidity and dividend suspension risks. Despite the myriad of macro challenges, Hoffler's fixed dividends and historical commitment to payouts provide stability and long-term value for investors.

REITs finished the first quarter of 2025 in the red (-3.36%) with a brutal -4.92% average total return in March. Large cap (-2.04%) and mid cap REITs (-2.63%) saw modest losses, but small caps (-4.16%) and micro caps (-16.19%) had a particularly bad month. Only 29.49% of REIT securities had a positive total return in March.

Armada Hoffler Properties is undervalued due to overdone market punishment; insider buying and favorable valuation make it a good buy opportunity. Effective debt management and asset sales are set to reduce leverage. AHH's properties nearing completion will boost FFO.

Armada Hoffler Properties is a REIT with high-quality, diversified properties, maintaining a strong 96% occupancy rate and positive re-leasing spreads. Despite recent share price declines and headwinds from interest rates and share dilution, AHH's long-term outlook remains positive, with potential FFO growth in 2026. Trading at a low 6.4x FFO and offering an 8% dividend yield, AHH presents a compelling investment opportunity for long-term investors.